7 comments on “Super Bowl LI Preview

  1. John Clayton, very respected as far as I know, in his recent QB list said Super Bowl 50 put Manning past Unitas. That is just absurd in so many ways, right?
    It’s asking way too much for this game not to affect people’s views on the GQBOAT thing, because people are sheep. But I know you know that lol.

    Go Atlanta. NE 31 ATL 17 is my guess, though.

  2. I have NE winning 27-20, but don’t feel comfortable about it at all due to the Pats late game defensive fades in Super Bowls under Belichick.

    SB 36 – Up 14 after 3 quarters, allowed the Rams to score touchdowns on two of their final three drives to tie the game at 17

    SB 38 – Up 11 in 4th quarter, allowed Carolina to score touchdowns on three straight possessions to trail by 1 and tie the game 29

    SB 39 – Up 3 with 46 seconds left, Philly on their own 5, Rodney Harrison game ending INT

    SB 42- Up 4 with 2:42 left, allowed an 83 yard GW TD drive to the Giants

    SB 46 – Up 2 with 3:46 left, allowed an 88 yard GW TD drive to the Giants

    SB 49- Up 4 with 2:02 left, allowed Seattle to drive 79 yards before Malcolm Butler’s game ending INT

    • Brady has now played in 7 Super Bowls, and his defense has offered negative support, as measured by expected points, in 6 of them. The narrative that Brady wins in the Super Bowl because of his defense is a myth.

      • What were the “expected points” Sunday? Less than 21? Against a historically potent offense?

        You’re not counting the pick six against the defense, are you?

      • Not really. The Pats forced a key turnover, and had some key stops in this SB that helped them comeback against the Falcons. They also forced several key turnovers in Brady’s first three SB wins.

  3. ” After all, Bart Starr won 5 championships as a starter, yet we don’t hear about that just because three weren’t called Super Bowl.”

    Three were NFL championships in a 14-team league. The equivalent of a conference championship today.

    I mean, for a numbers person, this is pretty obvious, isn’t it?

    • Expected Points is a statistic. It measures the overall contribution of a particular unit of the team, and can also be broken down by individual players. The Pro Football Reference boxscores have Expected Points data, that show that in 6 of Brady’s 7 Super Bowls, the overall contribution of the defense has been negative.

      That’s not my opinion, it’s a statistical fact. Make of it what you will.

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